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Red33
39369.7
44858.2
101819.3
Blue115
46133.3
150133.9
501027.9
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2911405010015020033115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
#16
19.30.2
18.518.3
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End2.2
blue by 14.6
33.90.8
33.334.1
Auto15.9
Teleop12.9
End5.0
Second
3936
#32
9.70.2
9.59.3
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End1.3
blue by 23.6
461
#2
33.30.8
32.132.9
Auto11.4
Teleop18.9
End3.0
Third
4485
#31
8.20.3
8.28.0
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End0.8
blue by 19.7
5010
#12
27.90.8
27.328.1
Auto8.3
Teleop17.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed57%Ensemble oddsEarned