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Red46
174128.6
286719.4
90713.5
Blue41
386511.5
498223.6
45809.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584802040801001204641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.4
28.127.7
Auto10.7
Teleop15.3
End2.5
red by 5.0
4982
#18
23.60.2
23.823.5
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Second
19.40.4
19.619.2
Auto6.8
Teleop9.9
End2.7
red by 8.0
3865
#20
11.50.2
10.910.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End1.7
Third
9071
#35
3.50.4
3.93.5
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End0.1
blue by 6.2
4580
#26
9.70.2
9.99.7
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed