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Red125
22626.4
394025.7
460740.7
Blue99
327638.3
54830.8
702832.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10012540608014016018012599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#12
40.71.4
38.139.5
Auto12.5
Teleop23.3
End4.8
red by 2.4
3276
#14
38.31.1
39.438.4
Auto8.4
Teleop24.5
End5.4
Second
226
#29
26.41.4
25.827.2
Auto10.8
Teleop13.1
End2.4
blue by 6.2
7028
#56
32.61.1
37.336.3
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End-0.0
Third
3940
#47
25.71.4
29.530.9
Auto9.9
Teleop12.2
End3.6
blue by 5.1
548
#23
30.81.1
33.332.2
Auto11.4
Teleop16.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned55%Ensemble oddsEarned