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Red126
940131.5
414335.2
291050.4
Blue100
402836.8
496727.3
347845.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13412850100150200126100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.40.0
50.750.7
Auto14.7
Teleop33.0
End2.7
red by 4.6
45.81.4
47.946.4
Auto15.1
Teleop24.4
End6.3
Second
4143
#13
35.20.0
34.034.1
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
blue by 1.6
4028
#35
36.81.4
38.737.3
Auto12.8
Teleop19.8
End4.2
Third
9401
#46
31.50.0
35.535.6
Auto14.0
Teleop14.9
End2.6
red by 4.2
4967
#39
27.31.4
29.728.3
Auto8.0
Teleop16.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned96%Ensemble oddsEarned