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Red114
174728.4
173232.3
82927.0
Blue68
171423.5
651725.7
253940.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11511340608010014016018011468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#34
32.30.6
37.337.9
Auto11.0
Teleop15.4
End5.9
blue by 8.0
2539
#25
40.33.0
43.040.1
Auto12.8
Teleop21.0
End6.6
Second
1747
#32
28.40.6
32.132.7
Auto7.4
Teleop17.8
End3.2
red by 2.8
6517
#26
25.73.0
26.923.9
Auto10.4
Teleop12.9
End2.4
Third
829
#48
27.00.6
34.134.7
Auto12.1
Teleop12.0
End3.0
red by 3.5
1714
#57
23.53.0
32.529.5
Auto11.4
Teleop11.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsEarned50%Ensemble oddsEarned