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Red121
376731.3
198734.8
306135.8
Blue112
335737.5
23418.4
102329.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12010120406080140160180121112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#16
35.80.7
39.840.5
Auto12.8
Teleop19.9
End3.1
blue by 1.7
3357
#30
37.51.1
39.040.1
Auto8.4
Teleop25.1
End3.9
Second
1987
#33
34.80.7
34.034.6
Auto14.2
Teleop17.4
End3.2
red by 5.6
1023
#50
29.21.1
31.432.5
Auto8.9
Teleop17.1
End3.2
Third
3767
#41
31.30.7
32.333.0
Auto13.4
Teleop14.8
End3.1
red by 12.9
234
#54
18.41.1
23.024.1
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsEarned51%Ensemble oddsEarned