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Red104
608134.2
126140.2
207542.7
Blue96
50329.5
804439.1
3343.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331268010012014016010496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#15
42.71.0
46.845.7
Auto14.2
Teleop24.2
End4.2
blue by 0.5
33
#28
43.21.3
42.841.6
Auto12.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
Second
1261
#18
40.21.0
42.641.6
Auto13.3
Teleop24.4
End2.5
red by 1.0
39.11.3
39.438.1
Auto8.5
Teleop26.9
End3.7
Third
34.21.0
29.928.9
Auto14.8
Teleop15.6
End3.9
red by 4.7
503
#22
29.51.3
32.831.5
Auto12.2
Teleop12.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsMissed59%Ensemble oddsMissed