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Red84
571242.8
482821.1
192318.6
Blue61
30227.4
353830.0
590736.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111990501502002503008461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#10
42.81.0
41.840.8
Auto13.2
Teleop24.8
End4.8
red by 6.7
5907
#17
36.12.0
35.133.1
Auto14.2
Teleop18.7
End3.3
Second
4828
#55
21.11.0
28.027.0
Auto9.7
Teleop9.7
End1.7
blue by 8.9
3538
#31
30.02.0
27.425.4
Auto11.5
Teleop14.4
End4.1
Third
1923
#49
18.61.0
29.528.5
Auto8.6
Teleop7.6
End2.4
blue by 8.8
302
#27
27.42.0
28.626.6
Auto7.8
Teleop14.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsMissed92%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
77%Ensemble oddsMissed67%Ensemble oddsMissed