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Red109
501026.9
804439.1
335737.5
Blue107
341429.9
347845.8
253940.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114127050100150200109107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.2
36.636.8
Auto8.5
Teleop26.9
End3.7
blue by 6.6
45.80.4
45.044.5
Auto15.1
Teleop24.4
End6.3
Second
3357
#30
37.50.2
39.439.6
Auto8.4
Teleop25.1
End3.9
blue by 2.8
2539
#25
40.30.4
37.537.1
Auto12.8
Teleop21.0
End6.6
Third
5010
#36
26.90.2
28.428.6
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.6
blue by 3.0
3414
#37
29.90.4
31.130.7
Auto8.2
Teleop19.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsMissed92%Ensemble oddsEarned