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Red104
940131.5
86821.8
198734.8
Blue112
306135.8
608134.2
427028.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151086080100140160104112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#33
34.81.2
37.135.9
Auto14.2
Teleop17.4
End3.2
blue by 1.0
3061
#16
35.80.1
39.539.4
Auto12.8
Teleop19.9
End3.1
Second
9401
#46
31.51.2
34.933.7
Auto14.0
Teleop14.9
End2.6
blue by 2.7
34.20.1
28.128.0
Auto14.8
Teleop15.6
End3.9
Third
868
#53
21.81.2
31.230.0
Auto12.7
Teleop5.7
End3.3
blue by 6.6
4270
#38
28.40.1
31.030.9
Auto8.6
Teleop15.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned70%Ensemble oddsEarned