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Red78
174130.5
376731.3
192318.6
Blue124
4524.7
22626.4
170649.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961102040608012014016078124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#41
31.30.7
32.231.5
Auto13.4
Teleop14.8
End3.1
blue by 18.3
49.60.8
47.948.7
Auto13.3
Teleop30.9
End5.4
Second
1741
#51
30.50.7
30.830.1
Auto9.3
Teleop18.1
End3.1
red by 4.1
226
#29
26.40.8
26.827.6
Auto10.8
Teleop13.1
End2.4
Third
1923
#49
18.60.7
25.624.9
Auto8.6
Teleop7.6
End2.4
blue by 6.1
45
#45
24.70.8
22.923.6
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsEarned63%Ensemble oddsMissed