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Red85
171423.5
3343.2
173232.3
Blue86
427028.4
413022.4
940131.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124974060801401601808586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#28
43.21.6
42.040.4
Auto12.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
red by 11.6
9401
#46
31.51.0
33.732.7
Auto14.0
Teleop14.9
End2.6
Second
1732
#34
32.31.6
40.038.4
Auto11.0
Teleop15.4
End5.9
red by 4.0
4270
#38
28.41.0
30.929.9
Auto8.6
Teleop15.0
End4.8
Third
1714
#57
23.51.6
26.925.3
Auto11.4
Teleop11.7
End0.4
red by 1.1
4130
#40
22.41.0
26.525.5
Auto10.1
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsMissed59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
55%Ensemble oddsMissed69%Ensemble oddsMissed