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Red123
207542.7
804439.1
170649.6
Blue84
306135.8
174728.4
276741.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142121608010016018020012384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.2
48.748.5
Auto13.3
Teleop30.9
End5.4
red by 8.2
2767
#21
41.42.1
42.940.8
Auto12.4
Teleop23.1
End5.8
Second
2075
#15
42.70.2
40.540.3
Auto14.2
Teleop24.2
End4.2
red by 6.9
3061
#16
35.82.1
39.437.2
Auto12.8
Teleop19.9
End3.1
Third
39.10.2
36.836.6
Auto8.5
Teleop26.9
End3.7
red by 10.7
1747
#32
28.42.1
29.627.5
Auto7.4
Teleop17.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
75%Ensemble oddsEarned62%Ensemble oddsEarned