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Red97
30227.4
702832.6
102329.2
Blue127
253940.3
608134.2
174130.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9810605015020097127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7028
#56
32.60.5
31.231.6
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End-0.0
blue by 7.7
2539
#25
40.31.8
37.138.9
Auto12.8
Teleop21.0
End6.6
Second
1023
#50
29.20.5
32.332.8
Auto8.9
Teleop17.1
End3.2
blue by 5.0
34.21.8
28.029.8
Auto14.8
Teleop15.6
End3.9
Third
302
#27
27.40.5
26.526.9
Auto7.8
Teleop14.7
End4.9
blue by 3.1
1741
#51
30.51.8
30.131.9
Auto9.3
Teleop18.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsEarned92%Ensemble oddsEarned