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Red101
91034.9
335737.5
745745.7
Blue62
376731.3
327638.3
126140.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1281218010014016010162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.71.0
43.542.5
Auto11.9
Teleop27.6
End6.2
red by 5.5
1261
#18
40.23.2
41.137.9
Auto13.3
Teleop24.4
End2.5
Second
3357
#30
37.51.0
39.638.6
Auto8.4
Teleop25.1
End3.9
blue by 0.8
3276
#14
38.33.2
37.334.1
Auto8.4
Teleop24.5
End5.4
Third
910
#11
34.91.0
31.530.5
Auto9.0
Teleop21.9
End4.0
red by 3.6
3767
#41
31.33.2
31.528.3
Auto13.4
Teleop14.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
86%Ensemble oddsMissed50%Ensemble oddsMissed