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Red102
449933.2
402836.8
571242.8
Blue99
11833.3
460740.7
12543.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11813140608010014016018020010299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#10
42.80.8
42.942.1
Auto13.2
Teleop24.8
End4.8
blue by 1.2
125
#2
43.91.2
41.940.7
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End5.6
Second
4028
#35
36.80.8
32.131.3
Auto12.8
Teleop19.8
End4.2
blue by 3.9
4607
#12
40.71.2
39.538.3
Auto12.5
Teleop23.3
End4.8
Third
4499
#20
33.20.8
33.732.9
Auto11.8
Teleop17.3
End4.1
Level
118
#24
33.31.2
35.734.5
Auto10.9
Teleop16.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
96%Ensemble oddsMissed96%Ensemble oddsEarned