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Red109
414335.2
54830.8
248144.9
Blue65
482821.1
82927.0
501026.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122885010015010965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.90.3
44.544.2
Auto12.5
Teleop27.8
End4.5
red by 17.9
829
#48
27.01.6
31.630.1
Auto12.1
Teleop12.0
End3.0
Second
4143
#13
35.20.3
32.031.7
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
red by 8.2
5010
#36
26.91.6
28.627.0
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.6
Third
548
#23
30.80.3
30.129.8
Auto11.4
Teleop16.3
End3.1
red by 9.7
4828
#55
21.11.6
23.521.9
Auto9.7
Teleop9.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
68%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed