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Red92
22626.4
427028.4
463538.5
Blue119
745745.7
207542.7
414335.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121405010015020092119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#19
38.51.3
44.242.9
Auto12.5
Teleop22.6
End3.3
blue by 7.2
45.70.3
42.041.7
Auto11.9
Teleop27.6
End6.2
Second
4270
#38
28.41.3
33.432.1
Auto8.6
Teleop15.0
End4.8
blue by 14.3
2075
#15
42.70.3
47.146.8
Auto14.2
Teleop24.2
End4.2
Third
226
#29
26.41.3
27.125.8
Auto10.8
Teleop13.1
End2.4
blue by 8.8
4143
#13
35.20.3
34.334.0
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
54%Ensemble oddsEarned78%Ensemble oddsEarned