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Red117
30227.4
335737.5
347845.8
Blue102
102422.2
460740.7
402836.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12911450100150200117102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.80.1
47.747.9
Auto15.1
Teleop24.4
End6.3
red by 5.1
4607
#12
40.70.2
38.338.1
Auto12.5
Teleop23.3
End4.8
Second
3357
#30
37.50.1
38.939.0
Auto8.4
Teleop25.1
End3.9
red by 0.7
4028
#35
36.80.2
39.038.7
Auto12.8
Teleop19.8
End4.2
Third
302
#27
27.40.1
28.428.6
Auto7.8
Teleop14.7
End4.9
red by 5.2
1024
#52
22.20.2
27.927.7
Auto10.8
Teleop8.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
91%Ensemble oddsEarned76%Ensemble oddsMissed