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Red98
54830.8
171423.5
353830.0
Blue106
306135.8
449933.2
804439.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961395015020098106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#23
30.80.4
32.933.3
Auto11.4
Teleop16.3
End3.1
blue by 8.3
39.11.3
40.739.4
Auto8.5
Teleop26.9
End3.7
Second
3538
#31
30.00.4
27.027.4
Auto11.5
Teleop14.4
End4.1
blue by 5.8
3061
#16
35.81.3
41.139.8
Auto12.8
Teleop19.9
End3.1
Third
1714
#57
23.50.4
32.032.5
Auto11.4
Teleop11.7
End0.4
blue by 9.7
4499
#20
33.21.3
38.737.4
Auto11.8
Teleop17.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
63%Ensemble oddsMissed55%Ensemble oddsEarned