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Red117
940131.5
482821.1
18038.1
Blue132
291050.4
253940.3
50329.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11214250100200250117132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#44
38.10.5
42.442.9
Auto15.9
Teleop20.0
End2.1
blue by 12.3
50.40.5
50.250.7
Auto14.7
Teleop33.0
End2.7
Second
9401
#46
31.50.5
35.035.5
Auto14.0
Teleop14.9
End2.6
blue by 8.8
2539
#25
40.30.5
42.643.0
Auto12.8
Teleop21.0
End6.6
Third
4828
#55
21.10.5
27.528.0
Auto9.7
Teleop9.7
End1.7
blue by 8.4
503
#22
29.50.5
32.332.8
Auto12.2
Teleop12.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed73%Ensemble oddsEarned