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Red89
702832.6
306135.8
102422.2
Blue116
571242.8
32115.8
12543.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10110640608012014089116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#16
35.80.4
37.236.8
Auto12.8
Teleop19.9
End3.1
blue by 8.1
125
#2
43.91.0
40.741.7
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End5.6
Second
7028
#56
32.60.4
31.631.2
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End-0.0
blue by 10.2
5712
#10
42.81.0
42.143.2
Auto13.2
Teleop24.8
End4.8
Third
1024
#52
22.20.4
22.822.3
Auto10.8
Teleop8.4
End2.9
red by 6.4
321
#43
15.81.0
12.713.8
Auto10.3
Teleop5.9
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed89%Ensemble oddsMissed