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Red139
126140.2
291050.4
427028.4
Blue85
413022.4
82927.0
460740.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137995015020013985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.40.8
51.552.3
Auto14.7
Teleop33.0
End2.7
red by 9.7
4607
#12
40.70.6
38.337.7
Auto12.5
Teleop23.3
End4.8
Second
1261
#18
40.20.8
37.938.8
Auto13.3
Teleop24.4
End2.5
red by 13.2
829
#48
27.00.6
30.129.5
Auto12.1
Teleop12.0
End3.0
Third
4270
#38
28.40.8
29.930.7
Auto8.6
Teleop15.0
End4.8
red by 6.0
4130
#40
22.40.6
25.524.9
Auto10.1
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned63%Ensemble oddsMissed