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Red116
402836.8
501026.9
50329.5
Blue91
463538.5
86821.8
376731.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9711005015020011691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#35
36.81.6
31.333.0
Auto12.8
Teleop19.8
End4.2
blue by 1.7
4635
#19
38.51.1
42.541.3
Auto12.5
Teleop22.6
End3.3
Second
503
#22
29.51.6
31.232.9
Auto12.2
Teleop12.0
End5.3
blue by 1.8
3767
#41
31.31.1
28.327.2
Auto13.4
Teleop14.8
End3.1
Third
5010
#36
26.91.6
27.028.6
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.6
red by 5.2
868
#53
21.81.1
27.526.3
Auto12.7
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned62%Ensemble oddsEarned