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Red91
449933.2
590736.1
23418.4
Blue128
253940.3
3343.2
414335.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9412705015020091128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#17
36.10.1
37.137.2
Auto14.2
Teleop18.7
End3.3
blue by 7.1
33
#28
43.21.1
40.441.5
Auto12.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
Second
4499
#20
33.20.1
32.933.0
Auto11.8
Teleop17.3
End4.1
blue by 7.1
2539
#25
40.31.1
38.940.0
Auto12.8
Teleop21.0
End6.6
Third
234
#54
18.40.1
18.818.9
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End0.8
blue by 16.7
4143
#13
35.21.1
31.732.8
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsMissed92%Ensemble oddsEarned