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Red113
460740.7
306135.8
32115.8
Blue83
173232.3
4524.7
174130.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9610640608012014016011383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#12
40.70.3
37.738.0
Auto12.5
Teleop23.3
End4.8
red by 8.3
1732
#34
32.30.8
37.937.1
Auto11.0
Teleop15.4
End5.9
Second
3061
#16
35.80.3
36.837.1
Auto12.8
Teleop19.9
End3.1
red by 5.3
1741
#51
30.50.8
32.331.5
Auto9.3
Teleop18.1
End3.1
Third
321
#43
15.80.3
13.814.1
Auto10.3
Teleop5.9
End-0.3
blue by 8.9
45
#45
24.70.8
25.024.2
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsEarned45%Ensemble oddsEarned