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Red64
192318.6
50329.5
463538.5
Blue113
82927.0
327638.3
91034.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10610670809010011064113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#19
38.53.5
41.337.8
Auto12.5
Teleop22.6
End3.3
red by 0.2
3276
#14
38.30.5
35.235.7
Auto8.4
Teleop24.5
End5.4
Second
503
#22
29.53.5
32.929.4
Auto12.2
Teleop12.0
End5.3
blue by 5.4
910
#11
34.90.5
31.031.5
Auto9.0
Teleop21.9
End4.0
Third
1923
#49
18.63.5
21.718.2
Auto8.6
Teleop7.6
End2.4
blue by 8.4
829
#48
27.00.5
29.529.9
Auto12.1
Teleop12.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsMissed92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
66%Ensemble oddsEarned64%Ensemble oddsMissed