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Red85
341429.9
449933.2
501026.9
Blue95
126140.2
174728.4
496727.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001060501502002508595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#20
33.20.4
33.032.6
Auto11.8
Teleop17.3
End4.1
blue by 6.9
1261
#18
40.20.3
38.838.5
Auto13.3
Teleop24.4
End2.5
Second
3414
#37
29.90.4
29.729.3
Auto8.2
Teleop19.4
End2.4
red by 1.5
1747
#32
28.40.3
28.628.3
Auto7.4
Teleop17.8
End3.2
Third
5010
#36
26.90.4
28.628.2
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.6
blue by 0.4
4967
#39
27.30.3
27.627.2
Auto8.0
Teleop16.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsEarned