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Red149
335737.5
414335.2
376731.3
Blue75
246832.2
702832.6
940131.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108106809010012013014014975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#30
37.53.3
37.440.7
Auto8.4
Teleop25.1
End3.9
red by 5.0
7028
#56
32.61.4
31.229.8
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End-0.0
Second
4143
#13
35.23.3
32.836.1
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
red by 3.0
2468
#42
32.21.4
33.632.2
Auto8.9
Teleop20.7
End2.6
Third
3767
#41
31.33.3
27.230.5
Auto13.4
Teleop14.8
End3.1
blue by 0.2
9401
#46
31.51.4
31.029.6
Auto14.0
Teleop14.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
62%Ensemble oddsEarned26%Ensemble oddsMissed