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Red110
18038.1
353830.0
253940.3
Blue147
170649.6
3343.2
402836.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11413750100150200110147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
#25
40.30.2
40.040.2
Auto12.8
Teleop21.0
End6.6
blue by 9.3
49.61.7
46.748.4
Auto13.3
Teleop30.9
End5.4
Second
180
#44
38.10.2
39.339.4
Auto15.9
Teleop20.0
End2.1
blue by 5.1
33
#28
43.21.7
41.543.2
Auto12.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
Third
3538
#31
30.00.2
26.426.5
Auto11.5
Teleop14.4
End4.1
blue by 6.8
4028
#35
36.81.7
33.034.7
Auto12.8
Teleop19.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
89%Ensemble oddsMissed93%Ensemble oddsEarned