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Red46
394025.7
174130.5
23418.4
Blue114
171423.5
347845.8
482821.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8510105015020046114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#51
30.52.3
31.529.1
Auto9.3
Teleop18.1
End3.1
blue by 15.3
45.80.5
45.045.5
Auto15.1
Teleop24.4
End6.3
Second
3940
#47
25.72.3
28.526.2
Auto9.9
Teleop12.2
End3.6
red by 2.2
1714
#57
23.50.5
23.524.0
Auto11.4
Teleop11.7
End0.4
Third
234
#54
18.42.3
18.916.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End0.8
blue by 2.7
4828
#55
21.10.5
20.721.2
Auto9.7
Teleop9.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsEarned