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Red114
91034.9
22626.4
341429.9
Blue69
82927.0
30227.4
306135.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9310505015011469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#11
34.91.8
31.533.2
Auto9.0
Teleop21.9
End4.0
blue by 0.9
3061
#16
35.81.6
37.135.5
Auto12.8
Teleop19.9
End3.1
Second
3414
#37
29.91.8
29.331.1
Auto8.2
Teleop19.4
End2.4
red by 2.5
302
#27
27.41.6
26.324.7
Auto7.8
Teleop14.7
End4.9
Third
226
#29
26.41.8
24.926.7
Auto10.8
Teleop13.1
End2.4
blue by 0.6
829
#48
27.01.6
29.928.3
Auto12.1
Teleop12.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned57%Ensemble oddsEarned