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Red98
198734.8
413022.4
804439.1
Blue107
246832.2
192318.6
414335.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1049440608012014098107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.0
36.436.5
Auto8.5
Teleop26.9
End3.7
red by 3.9
4143
#13
35.20.4
36.136.5
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Second
1987
#33
34.80.0
32.732.7
Auto14.2
Teleop17.4
End3.2
red by 2.6
2468
#42
32.20.4
32.232.5
Auto8.9
Teleop20.7
End2.6
Third
4130
#40
22.40.0
23.623.6
Auto10.1
Teleop11.2
End1.1
red by 3.8
1923
#49
18.60.4
18.218.6
Auto8.6
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsMissed56%Ensemble oddsEarned