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Red68
335737.5
173232.3
86821.8
Blue158
745745.7
291050.4
449933.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081425020068158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#30
37.52.6
40.738.1
Auto8.4
Teleop25.1
End3.9
blue by 12.9
50.41.5
50.051.6
Auto14.7
Teleop33.0
End2.7
Second
1732
#34
32.32.6
37.134.5
Auto11.0
Teleop15.4
End5.9
blue by 13.3
45.71.5
42.243.8
Auto11.9
Teleop27.6
End6.2
Third
868
#53
21.82.6
24.021.4
Auto12.7
Teleop5.7
End3.3
blue by 11.4
4499
#20
33.21.5
32.634.2
Auto11.8
Teleop17.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
69%Ensemble oddsEarned72%Ensemble oddsEarned