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Red161
460740.7
205653.1
702832.6
Blue109
174728.4
463538.5
3343.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133119406080100140160180161109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.12.5
51.053.5
Auto16.3
Teleop32.8
End4.1
red by 10.0
33
#28
43.20.5
43.242.7
Auto12.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
Second
4607
#12
40.72.5
38.040.5
Auto12.5
Teleop23.3
End4.8
red by 2.2
4635
#19
38.50.5
37.837.4
Auto12.5
Teleop22.6
End3.3
Third
7028
#56
32.62.5
29.832.3
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End-0.0
red by 4.1
1747
#32
28.40.5
28.327.8
Auto7.4
Teleop17.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
79%Ensemble oddsEarned73%Ensemble oddsEarned