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Red79
496727.3
376731.3
171423.5
Blue134
207542.7
571242.8
11833.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8413505010015020079134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#41
31.30.2
30.530.3
Auto13.4
Teleop14.8
End3.1
blue by 11.4
5712
#10
42.80.8
41.842.6
Auto13.2
Teleop24.8
End4.8
Second
4967
#39
27.30.2
27.227.0
Auto8.0
Teleop16.3
End3.0
blue by 15.3
2075
#15
42.70.8
41.242.0
Auto14.2
Teleop24.2
End4.2
Third
1714
#57
23.50.2
24.023.8
Auto11.4
Teleop11.7
End0.4
blue by 9.8
118
#24
33.30.9
33.334.2
Auto10.9
Teleop16.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsMissed92%Ensemble oddsEarned