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Red97
3343.2
335737.5
102422.2
Blue121
54830.8
463538.5
174130.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11610440608014016097121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#28
43.20.6
42.742.2
Auto12.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
red by 4.7
4635
#19
38.51.4
37.438.7
Auto12.5
Teleop22.6
End3.3
Second
3357
#30
37.50.6
38.137.5
Auto8.4
Teleop25.1
End3.9
red by 6.7
548
#23
30.81.4
29.130.5
Auto11.4
Teleop16.3
End3.1
Third
1024
#52
22.20.6
22.722.2
Auto10.8
Teleop8.4
End2.9
blue by 8.3
1741
#51
30.51.4
29.130.5
Auto9.3
Teleop18.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
64%Ensemble oddsEarned74%Ensemble oddsMissed