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Red150
804439.1
745745.7
30227.4
Blue88
702832.6
496727.3
4524.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1208840608010014016018015088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.72.7
43.846.5
Auto11.9
Teleop27.6
End6.2
red by 13.1
7028
#56
32.60.3
32.332.6
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End-0.0
Second
39.12.7
36.539.2
Auto8.5
Teleop26.9
End3.7
red by 11.8
4967
#39
27.30.3
27.027.3
Auto8.0
Teleop16.3
End3.0
Third
302
#27
27.42.7
24.727.4
Auto7.8
Teleop14.7
End4.9
red by 2.7
45
#45
24.70.3
24.424.7
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
74%Ensemble oddsEarned32%Ensemble oddsMissed