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Red108
590736.1
12543.9
501026.9
Blue78
246832.2
22626.4
171423.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1238720406010014016018010878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#2
43.90.3
43.042.8
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End5.6
red by 11.7
2468
#42
32.20.3
32.532.2
Auto8.9
Teleop20.7
End2.6
Second
5907
#17
36.10.3
36.636.3
Auto14.2
Teleop18.7
End3.3
red by 9.8
226
#29
26.40.3
26.726.4
Auto10.8
Teleop13.1
End2.4
Third
5010
#36
26.90.3
27.226.9
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.6
red by 3.5
1714
#57
23.50.3
23.823.5
Auto11.4
Teleop11.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed