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Red113
102329.2
276741.4
940131.5
Blue123
571242.8
91034.9
460740.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10713250150200113123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#21
41.40.4
39.840.2
Auto12.4
Teleop23.1
End5.8
blue by 1.4
5712
#10
42.80.1
42.642.7
Auto13.2
Teleop24.8
End4.8
Second
9401
#46
31.50.4
31.131.5
Auto14.0
Teleop14.9
End2.6
blue by 9.1
4607
#12
40.70.1
40.540.6
Auto12.5
Teleop23.3
End4.8
Third
1023
#50
29.20.4
28.829.2
Auto8.9
Teleop17.1
End3.2
blue by 5.7
910
#11
34.90.1
33.233.3
Auto9.0
Teleop21.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
78%Ensemble oddsEarned70%Ensemble oddsEarned