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Red156
91034.9
207542.7
327638.3
Blue137
347845.8
463538.5
590736.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12013350100150200156137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#15
42.70.9
40.841.7
Auto14.2
Teleop24.2
End4.2
blue by 3.1
45.80.4
45.445.8
Auto15.1
Teleop24.4
End6.3
Second
3276
#14
38.30.9
36.437.3
Auto8.4
Teleop24.5
End5.4
blue by 0.2
4635
#19
38.50.4
38.138.5
Auto12.5
Teleop22.6
End3.3
Third
910
#11
34.90.9
33.033.9
Auto9.0
Teleop21.9
End4.0
blue by 1.2
5907
#17
36.10.4
35.736.1
Auto14.2
Teleop18.7
End3.3