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Red104
402836.8
460740.7
571242.8
Blue133
3343.2
608134.2
353830.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1381116080100120160180200220104133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#10
42.80.4
43.242.8
Auto13.2
Teleop24.8
End4.8
blue by 0.4
33
#28
43.20.7
41.842.5
Auto12.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
Second
4607
#12
40.70.4
41.140.7
Auto12.5
Teleop23.3
End4.8
red by 6.5
34.20.7
32.933.5
Auto14.8
Teleop15.6
End3.9
Third
4028
#35
36.80.4
37.236.8
Auto12.8
Teleop19.8
End4.2
red by 6.8
3538
#31
30.00.7
28.729.3
Auto11.5
Teleop14.4
End4.1