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Red90
165728.3
459015.6
703926.3
Blue86
706719.3
383526.3
263033.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816320401001209086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.31.1
27.228.4
Auto8.0
Teleop17.4
End2.9
blue by 5.2
33.61.8
24.426.2
Auto13.0
Teleop18.5
End2.0
Second
7039
#25
26.31.1
23.724.9
Auto10.1
Teleop14.1
End2.2
red by 0.1
3835
#17
26.31.8
21.623.4
Auto9.1
Teleop13.5
End3.7
Third
4590
#22
15.61.1
19.921.0
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End2.0
blue by 3.7
7067
#26
19.31.8
13.215.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned32%Ensemble oddsEarned