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Red66
717710.8
973915.6
674027.4
Blue46
51359.9
306521.5
441610.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543702060801006646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6740
#18
27.40.1
22.922.8
Auto9.6
Teleop15.7
End2.1
red by 5.9
3065
#33
21.50.7
22.623.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.0
Second
9739
#39
15.60.1
14.514.4
Auto8.9
Teleop5.2
End1.5
red by 5.5
4416
#40
10.10.7
7.17.8
Auto4.8
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Third
7177
#44
10.80.1
9.49.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End2.1
red by 0.8
5135
#45
9.90.7
5.76.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed