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Red54
267910.9
610416.6
616820.6
Blue55
784520.8
432020.3
973818.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486302040801005455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6168
#34
20.60.3
22.322.6
Auto5.7
Teleop12.7
End2.2
blue by 0.2
7845
#23
20.80.3
22.121.8
Auto10.0
Teleop7.8
End3.0
Second
6104
#29
16.60.3
13.613.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5
blue by 3.7
4320
#16
20.30.3
17.317.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Third
2679
#31
10.90.3
9.29.4
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End2.9
blue by 7.2
9738
#28
18.10.3
15.415.1
Auto7.7
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed