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Red35
321122.3
82238.0
673819.4
Blue44
331621.4
59288.4
157610.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584220801003544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3211
#35
22.31.0
22.621.6
Auto7.4
Teleop13.8
End1.2
red by 0.9
3316
#19
21.41.0
18.717.8
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End2.4
Second
6738
#24
19.41.0
20.919.9
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End1.7
red by 9.3
1576
#27
10.21.0
9.68.6
Auto6.1
Teleop2.8
End1.3
Third
8223
#42
8.01.0
6.75.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End0.6
blue by 0.4
5928
#30
8.41.0
11.210.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned