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Red85
595137.9
674027.4
565421.5
Blue53
194221.0
267910.9
571522.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions835920401001208553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.8
28.729.6
Auto14.1
Teleop21.2
End2.6
red by 15.7
5715
#20
22.20.6
21.320.7
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End1.6
Second
6740
#18
27.40.8
22.823.7
Auto9.6
Teleop15.7
End2.1
red by 6.4
1942
#37
21.00.6
25.725.1
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End1.9
Third
5654
#13
21.50.8
20.821.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End4.4
red by 10.7
2679
#31
10.90.6
9.48.9
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
64%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed