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Red53
59288.4
432020.3
610416.6
Blue56
383526.3
973915.6
599026.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions407202060801001205356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4320
#16
20.30.7
17.017.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.4
End2.5
blue by 6.6
5990
#12
26.90.4
23.823.5
Auto10.2
Teleop13.7
End3.1
Second
6104
#29
16.60.7
13.914.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5
blue by 9.7
3835
#17
26.30.4
23.423.0
Auto9.1
Teleop13.5
End3.7
Third
5928
#30
8.40.7
9.29.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.4
blue by 7.2
9739
#39
15.60.4
14.414.1
Auto8.9
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned55%Ensemble oddsMissed