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Red84
784520.8
157610.2
561429.5
Blue80
209619.2
616820.6
165728.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58852040801001208480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.51.8
24.726.5
Auto10.7
Teleop15.9
End2.9
red by 1.2
28.30.9
28.427.5
Auto8.0
Teleop17.4
End2.9
Second
7845
#23
20.81.8
21.823.5
Auto10.0
Teleop7.8
End3.0
red by 0.2
6168
#34
20.60.9
22.621.6
Auto5.7
Teleop12.7
End2.2
Third
1576
#27
10.21.8
9.211.0
Auto6.1
Teleop2.8
End1.3
blue by 9.0
2096
#32
19.20.9
22.922.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed