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Red58
306521.5
717710.8
331621.4
Blue106
165728.3
432020.3
263033.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5483204010012058106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#33
21.50.2
24.224.4
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.0
blue by 12.1
33.62.0
26.228.2
Auto13.0
Teleop18.5
End2.0
Second
3316
#19
21.40.2
17.517.7
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End2.4
blue by 6.9
28.32.0
27.529.4
Auto8.0
Teleop17.4
End2.9
Third
7177
#44
10.80.2
10.911.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End2.1
blue by 9.5
4320
#16
20.32.0
17.719.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned